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Executive summary
Key observations Part 1 | Estimated relocation flows between the Metropolitan Area of Port-au-Prince (ZMPAP) and the rest of Haiti: April 2024 to October 2024
- Estimated net flows between the Metropolitan Area of Port-au-Prince (ZMPAP) and the rest of Haiti from April to October 2024 are small compared to previous months and year
- More people moved in than out of the ZMPAP over July to October 2024 (an estimated +10,930), which has not often occurred since 2021.
- Locations from which more people have moved into the ZMPAP include communal sections in Gressier and Arcahaie, where armed attacks have taken place in May and October 2024 respectively.
Key observations Part 2 | Estimated population change within the Metropolitan Area of Port-au-Prince (ZMPAP) due to mobility: July to October 2024
- Mobility within the ZMPAP had a greater impact on population change in ZMPAP communal sections than mobility between the ZMPAP and the rest of Haiti, for July to October 2024
- People from areas affected by armed attacks mainly relocated to Turgeau and St-Martin (from Arcahaie) and to Rivere Froide and 1re section des Varreux (from Gressier)
- Overall, the ZMPAP communal sections which most increased in population over Jul-Oct 2024 are Thor in Carrefour (+3,170), Etang du Jonc (+1,960) and Bellevue la Montagne (+1,700) in Pétion-Ville, and Bellevue (+1,720) in Tabarre.
- Rivière Froide in Carrefour (-1,990 people), and Turgeau (-930 people) and Morne l'Hôpital ( -610 people) in Port-au-Prince decreased in population during Jul-Oct 2024 (due to large net outflows to other ZMPAP sections and in spite of net inflows from outside the ZMPAP.
Key observations Part 3 | Estimated population change of 7 large urban areas due to mobility - Overview of the last ~5 years: January 2020 to October 2024
- The estimated population of the ZMPAP has declined overall since January 2021 (by nearly 180,000 people, -1.34% a year on average), and dropped under 3 million for the first time in early 2024 during this time period.
- More recently (April to the end of October 2024), the estimated population of the ZMPAP as a whole has remained relatively constant, as a result of reduced mobility with the rest of Haiti.
- Since 2021, other large cities have increased in estimated population instead (Gonaives, Jacmel, Les Cayes and Jérémie by over 1% a year on average), with the exception of Cap Haitien, which has been rather stable since 2021.
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About this report
Authors & contributors
This report was authored by the Flowminder Foundation, by Véronique Lefebvre and Galina Veres, with the contribution of Sophie Delaporte, Zachary Strain-Fajth and Roland Hosner.
Galina Veres produced and analysed the mobility statistics and produced the graphs; Véronique Lefebvre directed the analysis, interpreted the mobility statistics, selected the figures and wrote the report and the key observations; Sophie Delaporte supported with information product design, report writing and data visualisation; and Zachary Strain-Fajth and Roland Hosner produced the underlying residents and relocations estimates, and reviewed report content and the key observations. The production of estimates for this report also relied on earlier efforts by Flowminder scientists and engineers to develop analytical methods and process CDR data.
This report was made possible thanks to the anonymised mobile phone usage data provided by Digicel Haiti, which are aggregated by Flowminder via FlowKit to provide statistics.
Data privacy & governance
No personal data, such as an individual’s identity, demographics, location, contacts or movements, is made available to the government or any other third party at any time. All results produced by Flowminder are aggregated results (for example, subscriber density in a given municipality), which means that they do not contain any information about individual subscribers.
This data is fully anonymised. This approach complies with the European Union’s General Data Protection Regulation (EU GDPR2016/679). Data is processed on a server installed behind the mobile network operator’s firewall in Haiti, and no personal data leaves the operator’s premises.
Data considerations
Our methods aim to best extract and weight mobility information from CDRs, however, magnitudes and trends presented here may still contain errors that we cannot estimate at this time. The information should be interpreted together with other available evidence.
Read the report (PDF) (in English)
See https://haiti.mobility-dashboard.org to access our estimates and our methods documentation updated in November 2024.
Pour la version en français, veuillez cliquer ici.